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		"body": "<span id=\"docs-internal-guid-4d9ab49e-7fff-967a-be2c-fa73a5c6a737\" style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\"><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">美国中文网张心纽约报道 “石油正在成为德黑兰手中最锋利的武器。” 这是今天华尔街流传最广的一句话，而市场也确实感受到了这种切肤之痛。<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">今天的美国股市惨遭“黑色星期四”，三大股指集体跳水。道指收盘时狂泻约739点，跌幅超过1.5%，直接跌破47000点大关，创下今年年内的收盘新低。 纳指与标普500指数的跌幅也均超过了1.5%。<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">盘面上看，除了埃克森美孚（Exxon Mobil）和雪佛龙（Chevron）等能源巨头在油价的推动下逆势上涨外，其他板块几乎全线下跌。<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">而这背后的推手，正是原油。在伊朗新任最高领袖穆杰塔巴强硬表态，将持续封锁霍尔木兹海峡后。油价应声上涨。布伦特原油期货收盘飙升超过10%，报每桶101美元左右，这是自2022年8月以来，国际基准油价首次在收盘时重返“三位数时代”。美国基准原油今天也暴涨约10%，徘徊在每桶96美元附近。<\/span><\/p><\/span><span id=\"docs-internal-guid-966ebd11-7fff-b5e4-5753-cbeff42d4a0c\" style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\"><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">尽管国际能源署日前批准释放4亿桶战略储备，美国也释放了1.72亿桶储备原油，但远水解不了近渴。国际能源署今天发出严厉警告，称中东战火已引发全球原油市场最大规模的供应中断。<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">该机构报告指出，受战火波及，海湾国家日产量被迫缩减1000万桶，这相当于全球每天一成的需求。<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">高盛银行今天也发布警告称，油价的高点远未到来，如果封锁持续，3月和4月的均价可能飙升至每桶110美元。而唯一的解药只有恢复航运。<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">美国能源部长赖特则在接受CNBC采访时坦言，美国海军目前“尚未准备好”护送油轮通过海峡。 虽然他暗示本月底可能具备能力，但对于市场来说，这几周的时间显得无比漫长。<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">分析人士担忧，如果高油价持续，不仅会重创消费信心，更可能让好不容易消散的通胀阴影在中期选举前再度笼罩全美。目前，市场对联储年内降息的预判已从两次降至一次。<\/span><\/p><\/span><script id='_trs_ta_js' src='//ta.trs.cn/c/js/ta.js?mpid=4701' async='async' defer='defer'></script>",
    	"abs": "美国中文网张心纽约报道 “石油正在成为德黑兰手中最锋利的武器。” 这是今天华尔街流传最广的一句话，而市场也确实感受到了这种切肤之痛。 今天的美国股市惨遭“黑色星期四”，三大股指集体跳水。道指收盘时狂泻约739点，跌幅超过1.5%，直接跌破47000点大关，创下今年年内的收盘新低。 纳指与标普500指数的跌幅也均超过了1.5%。 盘面上看，除了埃克森美孚（Exxon Mobil）和雪佛龙（Chevron）等能源巨头在油价的推动下逆势上涨外，其他板块几乎全线下跌。 而这背后的推手，正是原油。在伊朗新任最高领袖穆杰塔巴强硬表态，将持续封锁霍尔木兹海峡后。油价应声上涨。布伦特原油期货收盘飙升超过10%，报每桶101美元左右，这是自2022年8月以来，国际基准油价首次在收盘时重返“三位数时代”。美国基准原油今天也暴涨约10%，徘徊在每桶96美元附近。 尽管国际能源署日前批准释放4亿桶战略储备，美国也释放了1.72亿桶储备原油，但远水解不了近渴。国际能源署今天发出严厉警告，称中东战火已引发全球原油市场最大规模的供应中断。 该机构报告指出，受战火波及，海湾国家日产量被迫缩减1000万桶，这相当于全球每天一成的需求。 高盛银行今天也发布警告称，油价的高点远未到来，如果封锁持续，3月和4月的均价可能飙升至每桶110美元。而唯一的解药只有恢复航运。 美国能源部长赖特则在接受CNBC采访时坦言，美国海军目前“尚未准备好”护送油轮通过海峡。 虽然他暗示本月底可能具备能力，但对于市场来说，这几周的时间显得无比漫长。 分析人士担忧，如果高油价持续，不仅会重创消费信心，更可能让好不容易消散的通胀阴影在中期选举前再度笼罩全美。目前，市场对联储年内降息的预判已从两次降至一次。"
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        "docTitle": "联储议息会议开幕 潜在主席哈塞特释“鸽派”信号",
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      "body": "<span id=\"docs-internal-guid-b32fb25c-7fff-1ffa-4dc4-9ac58354ee1f\" style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\"><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">美国中文网张心纽约报道 联储今天召开2025年最后一次议息会议，市场延续前一交易日的谨慎情绪，整体选择按兵不动。<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">截至收盘，标普500指数微跌0.09%；以科技股为主的纳指在盘中先抑后扬，最终微涨0.13%；道指跌得最多，跌幅达0.38%。<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">拖累道指的主要因素是摩根大通。该公司股价今天重挫4.66%，原因在于管理层警告称，考虑到信用卡业务竞争加剧，以及在人工智能领域的投入增加，预计2026年的成本支出将显著上升，令投资者对这家金融巨头的盈利前景更加审慎。<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">与大盘的谨慎表现形成鲜明对比的是，小盘股与大宗商品市场迎来高光时刻。罗素2000小盘股指数一举收于历史新高，凸显降息预期驱动下，资金正持续涌入对利率变动更为敏感的中小企业板块；大宗商品方面，白银价格强势攀升，站上每盎司60美元关口。<\/span><\/p><\/span><span id=\"docs-internal-guid-2e610856-7fff-360e-8bca-efe2917a39b4\" style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\"><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">当前，利率期货几乎已经完全计入了本次降息。 市场普遍预期，联储明天将再次降息25个基点，与9月和10月的利率决策保持一致，降息概率目前已接近九成。<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">值得关注的是，在“本次降息已成定局”的共识下，投资者的目光已转向2026年的货币政策路径。<\/span><\/p><\/span><span id=\"docs-internal-guid-d0d84b6d-7fff-4e56-dd0b-43217f4bddf2\" style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\"><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">被视为总统川普“内定”的“头号热门联储主席人选”、现任白宫经济委员会主任凯文·哈塞特，今天再度释放宽松信号。他在《华尔街日报》CEO理事会峰会上表示，联储在降息方面“有足够空间大幅下调利率”，而且”不仅限于一次25个基点的幅度”。<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-family: 微软雅黑, Microsoft YaHei; font-size: 16px; margin-bottom: 10px; line-height: 1.5em;\">与此同时，总统川普也在今日披露的Politico采访中明确表示，他希望为联储挑选一位“上任后就能立即推动降息”的新主席，“支持大幅降息”将成为他挑选谁接替鲍威尔的决定性因素。<\/span><\/p><\/span><br class=\"Apple-interchange-newline\"><script id='_trs_ta_js' src='//ta.trs.cn/c/js/ta.js?mpid=4701' async='async' defer='defer'></script>"
          
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